Adrien - Monday, March 31, 2025

How 13 degrees can turn a crowd into chaos? 🚶‍♂️

Crowd movements oscillate between order and chaos, a phenomenon that MIT researchers have decoded. Their approach combines mathematical modeling and real-world experiments to understand these complex dynamics.

Karol Bacik's team identified a critical threshold in pedestrian movement. When individuals deviate more than 13 degrees from their initial path, the crowd loses its organized line formation and shifts into disordered motion. This discovery is based on detailed analysis of walking angles and avoidance strategies.


Illustration image Pixabay

Researchers used fluid dynamics equations to model pedestrian flows. This method, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, can predict transitions between organized and disorganized movements. Simulations were validated through real-world experiments with volunteers wearing barcode hats.


The study reveals that movement efficiency decreases as disorder increases. Public spaces could be designed to minimize excessive walking angles, promoting safer and smoother flows. Potential applications range from train stations to stadiums and shopping centers.

Karol Bacik emphasizes the importance of these findings for urban design. By understanding the mechanisms behind crowd movements, it becomes possible to anticipate and prevent dangerous situations. His team's work paves the way for spaces better adapted to pedestrian needs.


Next steps include analyzing real crowd videos to refine models. The goal is to provide urban planners and architects with simple tools to optimize pedestrian circulation. This research illustrates how science can contribute to improving our daily lives.

The team also plans to extend their work to other areas, such as emergency evacuations. Understanding crowd dynamics in stressful situations could save lives. The prospects are vast, both theoretically and practically.

How do crowds form spontaneous lines?


Crowds tend to organize into lines when individuals walk in opposite directions. This phenomenon, called 'lane formation', results from a self-organization mechanism where each person adjusts their path to avoid collisions. Research shows this organization is fragile and heavily depends on average walking angles.

When this angle exceeds 13 degrees, collision probability increases, breaking the established order. Mathematical models can precisely predict this transition point. This data is important for designing safer public spaces.

Why use fluid dynamics to study crowds?


Fluid dynamics provides a powerful mathematical framework for modeling crowd movements. By treating crowds as fluids, researchers can ignore individual behaviors to focus on global properties. This approach simplifies analysis while maintaining high accuracy.


The equations used describe how individual density and speed vary in space and time. They predict when and how transitions between order and chaos occur. Real-world experiments validate these predictions, confirming the method's usefulness.

This analogy between fluids and crowds isn't new, but MIT's work takes it further. By precisely quantifying critical thresholds, they open new possibilities for urban engineering.
Ce site fait l'objet d'une déclaration à la CNIL
sous le numéro de dossier 1037632
Informations légales